10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 50bps?

19%Above 50bps

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 11 outcomes

24h volume$0

Total volume$756

Liquidity—

Open interest$244

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesJan 7, 2027in 2 months

First seenSep 7, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	34¢	294	$294	+$194 2.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 50bps?
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10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026: Will daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 be above 50bps?

Probability history

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Economy