PolymarketOpen

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No99%
Yes1%

Price checked at

24h volume$8.9K
7d volume$81.1K
30d volume$81.1K
Liquidity$382.8K
Spread0%
ResolvesNov 7, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 9, 04:38 PMNov 10, 02:02 AMNov 10, 11:26 AMNov 10, 08:50 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

Read the full rules

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Venue activity

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Comments1.1K

Discussion on Predxy

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1,095 comments

Comments belong to the venue's event, not to this outcome. Every leg of the same event shares this thread.
  • clearledger33326 · 2 days ago

    VforVictorious holds 987000,00 USD on JD Vance outcome No. Unrealized profit: 387000,00 USD. They turned 600000,00 USD into over 987000,00 USD. We track a lot more data like this.

  • WhaleWatch-98921 · 2 days ago

    elmcap2 holds 3902125,00 USD on JD Vance outcome No. Unrealized profit: 1527125,00 USD. They turned 2375000,00 USD into over 3902125,00 USD. We track a lot more data like this.

  • WhaleWatch-08669 · 2 days ago

    thegreengem holds 938613,97 USD on JD Vance outcome No. Unrealized profit: 368027,97 USD. They turned 570586,00 USD into over 938613,97 USD. We track a lot more data like this.

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  • WhaleWatch-03757 · 2 days ago

    S-Works currently holds 945881,98 USD on JD Vance with outcome No. One of the largest positions in this market. What do they know? This is only one part of our data.

  • clearsignal33458 · 2 days ago

    BillBenter2026 spent 475000,00 USD on JD Vance outcome No. Profit so far: 307325,00 USD. That position is printing money right now. Track more data within our community.

  • WhaleWatch-95519 · 2 days ago

    elmcap2 holds 3911625,00 USD on JD Vance outcome No. Unrealized profit: 1536625,00 USD. They turned 2375000,00 USD into over 3911625,00 USD. We track a lot more data like this.

  • callinglucky · 3 days ago

    🍀 Good luck everyone! Wishing you all the best ❤️🌸

  • WhaleWatch-92305 · 3 days ago

    VforVictorious has a 1056636,80 USD position on JD Vance with outcome No. They're already up 415084,40 USD on this trade through holding their position. When someone's betting big and winning, it's worth watching.

  • WhaleWatch-09008 · 3 days ago

    Buy1Get1Free spent 600000,00 USD on JD Vance outcome No. Profit so far: 387600,00 USD. That position is printing money right now. Track more data within our community.

  • WhaleWatch-59964 · 3 days ago

    S-Works spent 580067,14 USD on JD Vance outcome No. Profit so far: 366389,85 USD. That position is printing money right now. Track more data within our community.

  • WhaleWatch-94624 · 3 days ago

    Sharky6999 currently holds 699550,00 USD on JD Vance with outcome No. One of the largest positions in this market. What do they know? This is only one part of our data.

  • WhaleWatch-43513 · 3 days ago

    S-Works is currently one of the most profitable traders on JD Vance with already 360064,80 USD / +62,07% in total gains. Their position: 940131,94 USD on outcome No.

  • xaoo · 3 days ago

    840k? Everything's ok..?

  • xaoo · 3 days ago

    840k?? Are you ok?

  • Cooked-Soprano · 4 days ago

    He can't even be president. He's not old enough.

  • SingletonFamilyFund · 4 days ago

    I’ll make it $1M just you wait

  • buyrightbake · 4 days ago

    Ossoff will run, but Talarico will challenge him

  • ja3es · 5 days ago

    JD Vance - no

  • Horthyst · 5 days ago

    Fuentes 2032 You heard it here first

  • polymark · 5 days ago

    thnx bro we had no idea

As of Nov 10, 09:43 PM UTC