Will ChatGPT App downloads for November 2026 be above 122 ?
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 122 , then the market resolves to Yes.
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For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.
The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means ChatGPT App downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
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As of Nov 10, 10:20 PM UTC