Above 65 95%
No 5%
Price checked at Nov 10, 09:36 PM UTC
24h volume $12
7d volume —
30d volume —
Liquidity $27.6K
Spread 1%
Resolves Dec 15, 2026 next month
Probability history Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check. 5% 95% Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
If the Carbon Arc ChatGPT App downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 65 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Read the full rules For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th.
The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means ChatGPT App downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Venue activity Read from the venue this minute Holders —
Held value —
Trades (24h) —
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As of Nov 10, 10:24 PM UTC
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65 · this market 95%
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