KalshiOpen

Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?

No98%
At least 152%

Price checked at

24h volume$263
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$401
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 14, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 8, 05:02 PMNov 9, 10:37 AMNov 10, 04:11 AMNov 10, 09:46 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump endorses at least 15 people for their election on Truth Social from Nov 7, 2026 through Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Read the full rules

Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. Conditional endorsements will qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.

Examples: Donald Trump states "I endorse [candidate] for [office]" Donald Trump states "I support [candidate]" referencing a political race Donald Trump states "Vote for [candidate]" publicly Donald Trump states "[candidate] has my full support" for [race]

Examples that would NOT count: Trump posts a graphic that says "[Candidate] wins" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump

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As of Nov 10, 09:55 PM UTC