Will Trump endorse at least 1 people on Truth Social this week?
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump endorses at least 1 person for their election on Truth Social from Nov 7, 2026 through Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Read the full rules
Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. Conditional endorsements will qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week.
Examples: Donald Trump states "I endorse [candidate] for [office]" Donald Trump states "I support [candidate]" referencing a political race Donald Trump states "Vote for [candidate]" publicly Donald Trump states "[candidate] has my full support" for [race]
Examples that would NOT count: Trump posts a graphic that says "[Candidate] wins" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump
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As of Nov 10, 10:02 PM UTC