KalshiOpen

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? Dan Sullivan

No90%
Dan Sullivan10%

Price checked at

24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$6
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 8, 02:15 PMNov 9, 08:35 AMNov 10, 02:54 AMNov 10, 09:14 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Dan Sullivan, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Acting and Interim positions don't count.

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As of Nov 10, 09:33 PM UTC