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Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? Ron DeSantis

No91%
Ron DeSantis9%

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24h volume$2
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread7%
ResolvesJan 20, 2029in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Ron DeSantis, then the market resolves to Yes. Acting and Interim positions don't count.

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As of Sep 29, 09:24 PM UTC