Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Escalator

No98%
Justin Jefferson2%

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24h volume$21.4K
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Liquidity$0
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ResolvesNov 10, 202617 hours ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 7, 11:34 PMNov 8, 07:14 PMNov 9, 02:54 PMNov 10, 10:34 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Each Yes contract pays per receiving yards by Justin Jefferson in the Buffalo vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026. Each 10 receiving yards increase the payout by the following schedule: 0–9 yards, $0.0000; 10–19, $0.0001; 20–29, $0.0010; 30–39, $0.0033; 40–49, $0.0080; 50–59, $0.0156; 60–69, $0.0270; 70–79, $0.0428; 80–89, $0.0640; 90–99, $0.0911; 100–109, $0.1250; 110–119, $0.1663; 120–129, $0.2160; 130–139, $0.2746; 140–149, $0.3430; 150–159, $0.4218; 160–169, $0.5120; 170–179, $0.6141; 180–189, $0.7290; 190–199, $0.8573; and 200 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.

Read the full rules

This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation: Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000 y = min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) s = official receiving yards

The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Negative receiving yard totals pay Yes $0.00.

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The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves binary over/under 69.5 using the official NFL game book; Kalshi pays on a scalar schedule based on official receiving yards from the same game. The published criteria differ in payout mechanics, not in the underlying fact being measured.
  • Justin Jefferson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5

    In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Vikings, scheduled for November 9 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Justin Jefferson records more than 69.5 receiving yards in this game, and to "Under" if Justin Jefferson records 69.5 or fewer receiving yards. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Escalator

    If Each Yes contract pays per receiving yards by Justin Jefferson in the Buffalo vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026. Each 10 receiving yards increase the payout by the following schedule: 0–9 yards, $0.0000; 10–19, $0.0001; 20–29, $0.0010; 30–39, $0.0033; 40–49, $0.0080; 50–59, $0.0156; 60–69, $0.0270; 70–79, $0.0428; 80–89, $0.0640; 90–99, $0.0911; 100–109, $0.1250; 110–119, $0.1663; 120–129, $0.2160; 130–139, $0.2746; 140–149, $0.3430; 150–159, $0.4218; 160–169, $0.5120; 170–179, $0.6141; 180–189, $0.7290; 190–199, $0.8573; and 200 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation: Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000 y = min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) s = official receiving yards The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Negative receiving yard totals pay Yes $0.00. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

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As of Nov 10, 09:21 PM UTC