Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Vikings, scheduled for November 9 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Justin Jefferson records a reception of more than 24.5 yards in this game, and to "Under" if Justin Jefferson does not record a reception of more than 24.5 yards. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Polymarket differ on settlement details: Polymarket explicitly uses NFL.com stats, includes overtime, and specifies inactive/postponed/canceled handling, while Kalshi says the market is for the Nov. 9, 2026 game originally scheduled that day and includes a fair-price fallback if Jefferson is active but never appears. These criteria do not materially change the underlying question of whether Jefferson records a longest reception over 24.5 yards in that game.
Justin Jefferson: longest reception over 24.5 yards Justin Jefferson: over 24.5 yards
If Justin Jefferson records a longest reception of over 24.5 yards in the Buffalo vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to Justin Jefferson in the Buffalo vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026. If Justin Jefferson is active but does not appear in any live play, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Justin Jefferson appears in at least one live play, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on longest reception recorded.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Nov 10, 06:27 AM UTC
this market
Justin Jefferson: Longest Reception O/U 24.5
In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Vikings, scheduled for November 9 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Justin Jefferson records a reception of more than 24.5 yards in this game, and to "Under" if Justin Jefferson does not record a reception of more than 24.5 yards. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minute
Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.
this market