Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Cowboys and Colts, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javonte Williams scores the first rushing or receiving touchdown in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. If the first touchdown is a passing touchdown, only the player credited with the receiving touchdown counts as the first touchdown scorer. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the "Other" outcome resolves "Yes".
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Polymarket use different settlement details for inactive/postponed/canceled cases and source of truth, but both resolve on whether Javonte Williams scores the game’s first touchdown. Kalshi also specifies some player-market fallback rules; these do not materially change the question.
If Javonte Williams scores the first touchdown in Dallas vs Indianapolis Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to Javonte Williams in the Dallas vs Indianapolis professional football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. If Javonte Williams is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Javonte Williams takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on touchdowns scored. If no touchdowns are scored in the game, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes and all other player markets resolve to No. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as a special teams touchdown.
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this market
Will Javonte Williams score the first touchdown?
In the upcoming NFL football game between Cowboys and Colts, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javonte Williams scores the first rushing or receiving touchdown in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. If the first touchdown is a passing touchdown, only the player credited with the receiving touchdown counts as the first touchdown scorer. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the "Other" outcome resolves "Yes".
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