Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Vikings, scheduled for November 9 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if T.J. Hockenson scores 2 or more rushing or receiving touchdowns in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves by official NFL game book, excludes defensive/special teams TDs, and has explicit postponed/canceled handling. Kalshi uses its own snap-based rule and fair-market-price fallback if he is active but never takes a snap; otherwise the published criteria differ only in settlement mechanics, not the underlying question.
this market
T.J. Hockenson: 2+ Touchdowns
In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Vikings, scheduled for November 9 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if T.J. Hockenson scores 2 or more rushing or receiving touchdowns in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If T.J. Hockenson scores at least 2+ touchdowns in the Buffalo vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to T.J. Hockenson in the Buffalo vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026. If T.J. Hockenson is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once T.J. Hockenson takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on touchdowns scored. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as a special teams touchdown.
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read Nov 10, 07:50 PM UTC
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