Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Michigan and Oregon, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
Read the full rules
This market will resolve to "Over" if Michigan and Oregon combine to score 46 or more points in this game.
If the combined total is less than 46, this market will resolve to "Under".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ on settlement details: Polymarket uses NCAA.com and a 50-50 no-result rule if the game is canceled/abandoned, Gemini uses multiple source agencies and a market review process for unresolved cases, and Novig says its rulebook governs and voids settle at fair market value. These are settlement-rule differences only and do not change the underlying question.
this market
Michigan vs Oregon: total O/U 45.5
In the upcoming college football game between Michigan and Oregon, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Over" if Michigan and Oregon combine to score 46 or more points in this game.
If the combined total is less than 46, this market will resolve to "Under".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market resolves to Yes if Michigan and Oregon collectively score over 45.5 total points in the college football game between Michigan and Oregon scheduled for 2026-11-14 at 2:30 p.m. CT. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the total points scored by both teams for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Point_Total_Class_b23bc807-8bb2-4c32-a1b7-040c83d433ec.pdf).
Novig NCAAF total market on Oregon vs Michigan, scheduled 2026-11-14 20:30 UTC. Sides: Over 45.5 / Under 45.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
read Nov 10, 08:42 PM UTC
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