Prices have not been checked within the last hour.
24h volume$428
7d volume$499
30d volume$499
Liquidity$25.3K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 14, 2026in 4 days
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Michigan and Oregon, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game.
This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi use different fallback rules for postponement/cancellation or inability to determine result, and Polymarket also specifies a 50-50 tie outcome. Those are resolution differences only and do not change the underlying question.
This market resolves to Yes if Michigan wins the College Football game between Michigan and Oregon originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event . If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).
If Michigan wins the Michigan vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Nov 10, 06:41 PM UTC
this market
Michigan vs Oregon: Michigan wins
In the upcoming college football game between Michigan and Oregon, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game.
This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
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