PolymarketOpen

Zarate vs. Villanueva: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Over50%
Under50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$48
Spread94%
ResolvesNov 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 10:46 PMNov 1, 02:31 PMNov 2, 06:15 AMNov 2, 10:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Gonzalo Villanueva in the Villa Maria, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Villa Maria: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Gonzalo VillanuevaPolymarket60% Gonzalo VillanuevaOpen
Set Handicap: Carlos Maria Zarate (-1.5) vs Gonzalo Villanueva (+1.5)Polymarket77% Gonzalo VillanuevaOpen
Villa Maria: Completed Match: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Gonzalo VillanuevaPolymarket52% NoOpen
Set 1 Winner: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Gonzalo VillanuevaPolymarket55% Gonzalo VillanuevaOpen
Carlos Maria Zarate vs. Gonzalo Villanueva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket61% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Gonzalo Villanueva (-1.5) vs Carlos Maria Zarate (+1.5)Polymarket62% Carlos Maria ZarateOpen
Set 2 Winner: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Gonzalo VillanuevaPolymarket50% Carlos Maria ZarateOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket64% UnderOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Carlos Maria Zarate (-1.5) vs Gonzalo Villanueva (+1.5)Polymarket50% Gonzalo VillanuevaOpen

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As of Nov 2, 10:08 PM UTC