PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Gonzalo Villanueva

Carlos Maria Zarate72%
Gonzalo Villanueva28%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.5K
Spread56%
ResolvesNov 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 11:52 PMNov 1, 03:23 PMNov 2, 06:53 AMNov 2, 10:23 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Gonzalo Villanueva in the Villa Maria, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Carlos Maria Zarate” if Carlos Maria Zarate wins the first set. It will resolve to “Gonzalo Villanueva” if Gonzalo Villanueva wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Villa Maria: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Gonzalo VillanuevaPolymarket59% Gonzalo VillanuevaOpen
Villa Maria: Completed Match: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Gonzalo VillanuevaPolymarket52% NoOpen
Set Handicap: Carlos Maria Zarate (-1.5) vs Gonzalo Villanueva (+1.5)Polymarket61% Carlos Maria ZarateOpen
Carlos Maria Zarate vs. Gonzalo Villanueva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket68% Over 2.5Open
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket61% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Gonzalo Villanueva (-1.5) vs Carlos Maria Zarate (+1.5)Polymarket68% Gonzalo VillanuevaOpen
Set 2 Winner: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Gonzalo VillanuevaPolymarket50% Carlos Maria ZarateOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket63% UnderOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket52% OverOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket71% OverOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Zarate vs. Villanueva: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Carlos Maria Zarate (-1.5) vs Gonzalo Villanueva (+1.5)Polymarket50% Gonzalo VillanuevaOpen

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As of Nov 2, 10:44 PM UTC