KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,630 or above

No98%
7,630 or above2%

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24h volume$5.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$8
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 2, 20262 hours ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 12:16 PMNov 1, 07:38 AMNov 2, 02:59 AMNov 2, 10:21 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7629.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on November 02, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after November 02, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7504.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,505 or aboveKalshi99% 7,505 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,700 or aboveKalshi97% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,590 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,675 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,595 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7534.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,535 or aboveKalshi99% 7,535 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,575 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7554.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,555 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7509.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,510 or aboveKalshi98% 7,510 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,680 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,670 or aboveKalshi94% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,600 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,625 or aboveKalshi97% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,635 or aboveKalshi97% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,580 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,620 or aboveKalshi95% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,695 or aboveKalshi92% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,610 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,655 or aboveKalshi95% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,690 or aboveKalshi91% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,665 or aboveKalshi98% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7539.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,540 or aboveKalshi89% 7,540 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,615 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,685 or aboveKalshi89% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7529.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,530 or aboveKalshi97% 7,530 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
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As of Nov 2, 10:34 PM UTC