KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,620 or above

No75%
7,620 or above25%

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24h volume$247
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread15%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 16 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 12:16 PMNov 1, 01:33 AMNov 1, 02:50 PMNov 2, 04:07 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7619.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on November 02, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after November 02, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,700 or aboveKalshi83% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,605 or aboveKalshi50% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,600 or aboveKalshi50% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,585 or aboveKalshi61% 7,585 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,610 or aboveKalshi50% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,665 or aboveKalshi80% 7,665 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,595 or aboveKalshi60% 7,595 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7544.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,545 or aboveKalshi75% 7,545 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,640 or aboveKalshi77% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,655 or aboveKalshi73% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,635 or aboveKalshi55% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7539.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,540 or aboveKalshi81% 7,540 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7564.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,565 or aboveKalshi63% 7,565 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,615 or aboveKalshi52% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7569.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,570 or aboveKalshi73% 7,570 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,590 or aboveKalshi60% 7,590 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,695 or aboveKalshi83% NoOpen
S&P price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?: Will the S&P 500 be above 7534.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,535 or aboveKalshi73% 7,535 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7549.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,550 or aboveKalshi68% 7,550 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7554.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,555 or aboveKalshi69% 7,555 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,670 or aboveKalshi68% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,660 or aboveKalshi76% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,580 or aboveKalshi82% 7,580 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7559.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,560 or aboveKalshi64% 7,560 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST? 7,625 or aboveKalshi72% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
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As of Nov 2, 04:46 AM UTC