Florida wins by over 17.5 points

No85%
Florida wins by over 17.5 points15%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread11%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 9 hours

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 31, 09:58 AMNov 1, 04:57 AMNov 1, 11:56 PMNov 2, 06:55 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Florida wins by more than 17.5 points in the Florida vs Miami (FL) men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi use different settlement sources/timing, and Kalshi specifies postponed/cancelled-game handling. These differences do not change the underlying question: Florida must win by more than 17.5 points.
  • Miami vs Florida: spread: Florida (-17.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Florida in the entire men's college basketball game between Miami and Florida scheduled for 2026-11-02 at 5:00 p.m. CT is above 17.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Florida's score minus Miami's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Margin_Classdocx_0e17934c-24ae-4b91-99e3-4c46d7d5d741.pdf).

  • Kalshithis market

    Florida wins by over 17.5 points

    If Florida wins by more than 17.5 points in the Florida vs Miami (FL) men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Florida wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi54% Florida wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
Florida wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi59% Florida wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Florida wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi54% NoOpen
Florida wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi61% Florida wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Florida wins by over 26.5 pointsKalshi97% NoOpen
Florida wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi69% Florida wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Florida wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi68% Florida wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Florida wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi53% Florida wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi73% NoOpen
Florida wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi60% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi81% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 19.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Florida wins by over 8.5 pointsKalshi62% NoOpen
Florida wins by over 29.5 pointsKalshi97% NoOpen
Florida wins by over 30.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi88% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 15.5 pointsKalshi92% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi94% NoOpen
Florida wins by over 22.5 pointsKalshi94% NoOpen
Florida wins by over 18.5 pointsKalshi88% NoOpen
Florida wins by over 15.5 pointsKalshi82% NoOpen
Florida wins by over 12.5 pointsKalshi73% NoOpen
Florida wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi91% NoOpen
Florida wins by over 25.5 pointsKalshi93% NoOpen
Florida wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi78% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Nov 2, 07:30 PM UTC