PolymarketDelisted

Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Daniil Medvedev (+1.5)

Carlos Alcaraz62%
Daniil Medvedev38%

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24h volume$3.5K
7d volume$3.5K
30d volume$3.5K
Liquidity$44.5K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 7, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 30, 04:49 PMOct 31, 03:12 AMOct 31, 01:36 PMNov 1, 12:00 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Carlos Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins by 2 or more sets than Daniil Medvedev, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Daniil Medvedev." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Carlos Alcaraz can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Daniil Medvedev." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos AlcarazPolymarket85% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos AlcarazPolymarket54% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos AlcarazPolymarket62% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Daniil Medvedev vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket57% Under 2.5Open
Medvedev vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket76% OverOpen
Medvedev vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket71% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Medvedev vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Medvedev vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket78% OverOpen
Medvedev vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Medvedev vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos AlcarazPolymarket64% Carlos AlcarazOpen
Medvedev vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen

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As of Nov 1, 02:01 PM UTC