PolymarketOpen

Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by November 30, 2026?

Yes51%
No49%

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24h volume$6
7d volume$6
30d volume$6
Liquidity$41
Spread70%
ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 30 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 30, 03:22 PMOct 31, 06:15 AMOct 31, 09:07 PMNov 1, 12:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?Polymarket100% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 12:29 PM UTC