Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 days agoBest bid 10% · best ask 13%
Top holders
- Relaccsed70161264696345777885433685368220111939771822242544631024471838450227780551037
- ToTheWindow35508882805237669508979889215960661096294503908849019763178865743156552885612
- MisTKy35508882805237669508979889215960661096294503908849019763178865743156552885612
- melonmanm70161264696345777885433685368220111939771822242544631024471838450227780551037
- RewardFarmilka70161264696345777885433685368220111939771822242544631024471838450227780551037
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Recent trades
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Discussion on Predxy
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As of Sep 29, 11:18 PM UTC