Set 2 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Tommy Paul” if Tommy Paul wins set 2. It will resolve to “Carlos Alcaraz” if Carlos Alcaraz wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | Polymarket | 100% Carlos Alcaraz | Open |
| Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Tommy Paul (+1.5) | Polymarket | 100% Carlos Alcaraz | Open |
| Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under 2.5 | Open |
| Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 21.5 | Polymarket | 67% Over | Open |
| Set 1 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | Polymarket | 100% Carlos Alcaraz | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 75% Over | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 73% Under | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 74% Over | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 1, 03:57 PM UTC