Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Tommy Paul (+1.5) | Polymarket | 100% Carlos Alcaraz | Open |
| Set 2 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | Polymarket | 100% Carlos Alcaraz | Open |
| Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under 2.5 | Open |
| Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.5 | Polymarket | 100% Under | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 21.5 | Polymarket | 67% Over | Open |
| Set 1 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | Polymarket | 100% Carlos Alcaraz | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 75% Over | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 73% Under | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 74% Over | Open |
| Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 100% Over | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 1, 03:20 PM UTC