Will Jared Ward win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

No75%
Yes25%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$68
Spread87%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 13 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the athlete who wins the Men's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the official results declare a tie for first place, this market will resolve to "Other". If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.nyrr.org/tcsnycmarathon

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies NYRR official results (with fallback credible reporting) and explicit tie/cancellation/postponement handling; Kalshi publishes only the win condition. The settlement timestamps and outcome labels differ, but the question being priced is the same.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Jared Ward win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

    This market will resolve according to the athlete who wins the Men's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the official results declare a tie for first place, this market will resolve to "Other". If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

  • Will Jared Ward win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

    If Jared Ward wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Men's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

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As of Nov 1, 04:12 PM UTC