Will Jared Ward win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

No82%
Jared Ward18%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 11 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Jared Ward wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Men's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies NYRR official results (with fallback credible reporting) and explicit tie/cancellation/postponement handling; Kalshi publishes only the win condition. The settlement timestamps and outcome labels differ, but the question being priced is the same.
  • Will Jared Ward win the 2026 New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

    This market will resolve according to the athlete who wins the Men's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the official results declare a tie for first place, this market will resolve to "Other". If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

  • Kalshithis market

    Will Jared Ward win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

    If Jared Ward wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Men's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Andreas Almgren win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi51% Andreas AlmgrenOpen
Will Benson Kipruto win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi69% NoOpen
Will Deresa Geleta win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Will Sam Chelanga win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Yemaneberhan Crippa win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will Zouhair Talbi win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Will CyBrian Kotut win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Abdi Nageeye win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will Geoffrey Kamworor win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi98% NoOpen
New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner: Will Patrick Kiprop win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi99% NoOpen
New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner: Will Alec Baldwin win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi80% NoOpen
Will James Nipperess win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Will Conner Mantz win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi96% NoOpen
New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner: Will Ryan Cutter win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Will Edward Cheserek win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Ryan Ford win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Will Joe Klecker win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Ahmed Muhamed win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Stephen Jones win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Joel Reichow win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Kengo Suzuki win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Ryota Kondo win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Will Robert Miranda win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi65% NoOpen
Will Owen Ritz win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi82% NoOpen
Will Casey Clinger win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?Kalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 03:43 PM UTC