KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2027? Erling Haaland

No99%

Erling Haaland1%

Price checked at Nov 1, 12:37 PM UTC

Trade

Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.

24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$0

Spread30%

ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Erling Haaland wins the men's Ballon d'Or in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

View the combined question

Comparable, not identical. Resolution criteria have not been compared by a person yet. Venues may settle this question on different sources or dates.

Open
Will Erling Haaland win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Ballon d'Or award for the 2027 Ballon d'Or. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by France Football and UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
this market
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2027? Erling Haaland
If Erling Haaland wins the men's Ballon d'Or in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2027? Lamine Yamal	Kalshi	67% No	$701	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2027? Raphinha	Kalshi	90% Raphinha	$6	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2027? Harry Kane	Kalshi	67% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2027? Kylian Mbappe	Kalshi	65% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2027? Alisson Becker	Kalshi	57% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2027? Michael Olise	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2027? Desire Doue	Kalshi	97% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue this minute

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Nov 1, 12:51 PM UTC