OutcomeOpen

Will the Federal Open Market Committee do something other than raise, lower or hold the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate at its December 2026 decision?

Yes50%
No50%

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ResolvesJan 27, 2027in 3 months

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 29Oct 30Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Settles Yes if the Federal Open Market Committee's decision on the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate at its December 2026 decision is none of the listed outcomes, as published by Federal Open Market Committee, scheduled for 9 December 2026 19:00 UTC. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.

SourceFederal Open Market Committee

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As of Nov 1, 12:51 PM UTC