OutcomeOpen

Will the Federal Open Market Committee raise the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate at its December 2026 decision?

Yes71%

No29%

Price checked at Nov 1, 02:15 PM UTC

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24h volume$202.3K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$1.8K

Spread—

ResolvesJan 27, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Settles Yes if the Federal Open Market Committee raises the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate at its December 2026 decision, as published by Federal Open Market Committee, scheduled for 9 December 2026 19:00 UTC. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by Outcome.

SourceFederal Open Market Committee

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the Federal Open Market Committee leave unchanged the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate at its December 2026 decision?	Outcome	72% No	$37.1K	—	—	Open
Will the Federal Open Market Committee lower the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate at its December 2026 decision?	Outcome	99% No	$2.1K	—	—	Open
Will the Federal Open Market Committee do something other than raise, lower or hold the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate at its December 2026 decision?	Outcome	50% Yes	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 hours ago

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As of Nov 1, 02:28 PM UTC