PolymarketOpen
Will Mike Johnson be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?
No82%
Yes19%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$76
7d volume$1.6K
30d volume$1.6K
Liquidity$11K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 3 days
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual selected to be Minority Leader of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th United States Congress, which is scheduled to convene in January 2027 following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? | Polymarket | 56% No | Open |
| Will Tom Emmer be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? | Polymarket | 88% No | Open |
| Will Katherine Clark be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Lisa McClain be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will Steve Scalise be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? | Polymarket | 81% No | Open |
| Will Kevin Hern be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Blake Moore be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms? | Polymarket | 83% No | Open |
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As of Nov 1, 01:33 PM UTC