PolymarketOpen

Will Katherine Clark be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?

No93%

Yes7%

Price checked at Nov 1, 02:29 PM UTC

Prices have not been checked within the last hour.

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24h volume$20

7d volume$227

30d volume$227

Liquidity$2.2K

Spread5%

ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual selected to be Minority Leader of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th United States Congress, which is scheduled to convene in January 2027 following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Polymarket	56% No	$101	—	—	Open
Will Mike Johnson be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Polymarket	82% No	$76	—	—	Open
Will Tom Emmer be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Polymarket	92% No	$40	—	—	Open
Will Lisa McClain be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Polymarket	85% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Polymarket	91% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Steve Scalise be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Polymarket	81% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Kevin Hern be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Polymarket	93% No	—	—	—	Open
Will Blake Moore be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	Polymarket	83% No	—	—	—	Open

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As of Nov 1, 03:49 PM UTC