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Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin?: Will Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin minus James Talarico's Texas Senate margin be between 10 and 15 points? Raman by 10-15

No97%
Raman by 10-153%

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24h volume$624
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$281
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 9, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election minus James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 10 and 15 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.

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As of Nov 1, 01:08 PM UTC