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Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin?: Will James Talarico's Texas Senate margin minus Nithya Raman's LA mayoral margin be between 5 and 10 points? Talarico by 5-10

No78%
Talarico by 5-1022%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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Liquidity$754
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 9, 2027in 2 months

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election is between 5 and 10 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.

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As of Nov 1, 12:28 PM UTC