GeminiOpen

regulation time: Will Real Sociedad vs Athletic end in a draw?

No74%
Yes27%

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24h volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 27Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the LaLiga match between Athletic and Real Sociedad scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET ends in a tie after regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (LaLiga), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withties, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Real Sociedad vs Athletic: regulation time: Athletic winsGemini53% NoOpen
Real Sociedad vs Athletic: regulation time: Real Sociedad winsGemini75% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 12:36 PM UTC