Real Sociedad vs Athletic: regulation time: Athletic wins

No53%
Yes48%

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Spread1%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 27Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Athletic wins the LaLiga match between Athletic and Real Sociedad scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (LaLiga), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues use different settlement sources and slightly different resolution times, but both resolve on the same match result after regulation time only. Their cancellation/forfeit handling differs in wording without changing the underlying question.
  • Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad: Athletic Club wins

    This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 1, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

    0 holders · read Nov 1, 04:54 AM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Real Sociedad vs Athletic: regulation time: Athletic wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Athletic wins the LaLiga match between Athletic and Real Sociedad scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (LaLiga), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Real Sociedad vs Athletic: regulation time: Real Sociedad winsGemini75% NoOpen
regulation time: Will Real Sociedad vs Athletic end in a draw?Gemini74% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 11:37 AM UTC