Predict.funOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No75%

Yes26%

Price checked at Nov 10, 07:19 PM UTC

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Spread3%

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

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An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are identical in all material respects. Polymarket lists a settlement timestamp of January 1, 2027, 04:59 UTC, while PredictFun lists no settlement timestamp; this does not change the stated question.

this market
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
read Nov 10, 12:10 PM UTC
Open
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1.4K holders · 0 comments · read Nov 7, 05:55 PM UTC

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Read from the venue 8 hours ago

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