Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 hours agoBest bid 21% · best ask 22%
Top holders
- DirkDiggler6721275820052009278915970165572803516066396758597545413537036789986793691057073
- Pondermint21275820052009278915970165572803516066396758597545413537036789986793691057073
- BigRabbit21275820052009278915970165572803516066396758597545413537036789986793691057073
- Sticky-Closing39839649379979262874224474703228993451530996696316314037781119946088999891171
- DaveyP21275820052009278915970165572803516066396758597545413537036789986793691057073
A snapshot of positions, not a track record.
Recent trades
- BUY79%$6.28 hours ago
- BUY79%$1.513 hours ago
- BUY22%$113 hours ago
- BUY79%$1.513 hours ago
- BUY22%$113 hours ago
- BUY79%$1.513 hours ago
Discussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 2, 01:19 PM UTC