PolymarketResolved

Game Spread: Juan Manuel La Serna (-1.5) vs Nick Hardt (+1.5)

Nick Hardt100%
Juan Manuel La Serna0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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Spread0%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 21 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Juan Manuel La Serna" if Juan Manuel La Serna wins 1.5 or more total games than Nick Hardt in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nick Hardt". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Juan Manuel La Serna could no longer have finished 1.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Nick Hardt". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set Handicap: Juan Manuel La Serna (-1.5) vs Nick Hardt (+1.5)Polymarket100% Nick HardtOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La SernaPolymarket100% Nick HardtOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La SernaPolymarket100% Juan Manuel La SernaOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Nick Hardt (-1.5) vs Juan Manuel La Serna (+1.5)Polymarket100% Juan Manuel La SernaOpen
Nick Hardt vs. Juan Manuel La Serna: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Over 2.5Open
Hardt vs. Serna: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La SernaPolymarket100% Nick HardtOpen
Guayaquil: Completed Match: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La SernaPolymarket100% YesOpen

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As of Nov 1, 05:45 PM UTC