PolymarketResolved

Hardt vs. Serna: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Over100%
Under0%

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24h volume—
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Liquidity$0
Spread0%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 21 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Hardt and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set Handicap: Juan Manuel La Serna (-1.5) vs Nick Hardt (+1.5)Polymarket100% Nick HardtOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La SernaPolymarket100% Nick HardtOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La SernaPolymarket100% Juan Manuel La SernaOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Nick Hardt (-1.5) vs Juan Manuel La Serna (+1.5)Polymarket100% Juan Manuel La SernaOpen
Nick Hardt vs. Juan Manuel La Serna: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Over 2.5Open
Hardt vs. Serna: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Hardt vs. Serna: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Juan Manuel La Serna (-1.5) vs Nick Hardt (+1.5)Polymarket100% Nick HardtOpen
Guayaquil: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La SernaPolymarket100% Nick HardtOpen
Guayaquil: Completed Match: Nick Hardt vs Juan Manuel La SernaPolymarket100% YesOpen

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As of Nov 1, 05:42 PM UTC