Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope: Francis Marshall wins

Francis Marshall65%
Dakota Hope35%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$17.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$15.4K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 31, 202620 hours ago

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 25Oct 26Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Novig UFC money market on Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope, scheduled 2026-10-31 23:00 UTC. Sides: Francis Marshall / Dakota Hope. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Novig and Polymarket differ only in resolution mechanics: Novig references its rulebook and pays fair market value on void, while Polymarket uses official UFC results and specifies a 50-50 settlement for draw/no contest/cancellation/postponement cases. Their settlement timestamps also differ, but not the question being asked.
  • Novigthis market

    Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope: Francis Marshall wins

    Novig UFC money market on Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope, scheduled 2026-10-31 23:00 UTC. Sides: Francis Marshall / Dakota Hope. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 31, 07:08 PM UTC

  • UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)

    This market will resolve to "Dakota Hope" if Dakota Hope is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 65% · best ask 65%

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Nov 1, 07:04 PM UTC