UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)

Dakota Hope100%
Francis Marshall0%

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24h volume$50.7K
7d volume$75.8K
30d volume$75.8K
Liquidity$135.3K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 1, 202615 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Dakota Hope" if Dakota Hope is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Novig and Polymarket differ only in resolution mechanics: Novig references its rulebook and pays fair market value on void, while Polymarket uses official UFC results and specifies a 50-50 settlement for draw/no contest/cancellation/postponement cases. Their settlement timestamps also differ, but not the question being asked.
  • Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope: Francis Marshall wins

    Novig UFC money market on Francis Marshall vs Dakota Hope, scheduled 2026-10-31 23:00 UTC. Sides: Francis Marshall / Dakota Hope. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 31, 07:08 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)

    This market will resolve to "Dakota Hope" if Dakota Hope is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket100% OverOpen
Will Francis Marshall win by KO or TKO?Polymarket100% NoOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket100% OverOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket55% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket53% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 3?Polymarket57% NoOpen
Will Dakota Hope win in Round 2?Polymarket86% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket79% NoOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket50% OverOpen
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket54% YesOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket85% NoOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket51% YesOpen
Will Francis Marshall win in Round 2?Polymarket84% NoOpen
Will Dakota Hope win by KO or TKO?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Francis Marshall win in Round 3?Polymarket54% NoOpen
Will Francis Marshall win in Round 1?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Dakota Hope win in Round 3?Polymarket89% NoOpen
Will Dakota Hope win in Round 1?Polymarket88% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 07:04 PM UTC