KalshiOpen

United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position: Valtteri Bottas is awarded Pole Position

No99%
Valtteri Bottas1%

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24h volume$971
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 25, 20268 hours ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24, 08:51 PMOct 25, 01:14 AMOct 25, 05:37 AMOct 25, 09:59 AM

No recorded data before Oct 24 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Valtteri Bottas set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 United States Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this market, Pole Position is awarded to the driver who records the fastest official lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) of the Grand Prix, as determined by the FIA’s published classification. If Qualifying does not progress to Q3 (e.g., weather, red flags, or format changes), Pole Position will be awarded based on FIA’s official qualifying results for that event. Pole Position for this market is determined exclusively by the official "Final Qualifying Classification" and is not impacted by the final starting grid; any subsequent grid penalties or starting-order adjustments do not change who is deemed to have achieved Pole Position. Sprint race qualifying sessions are not considered for this market. If the qualifying session is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the qualifying session is cancelled, moved to a different circuit, or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Max Verstappen is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
Charles Leclerc is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
Lewis Hamilton is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
Andrea Kimi Antonelli is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% Andrea Kimi AntonelliOpen
Lando Norris is awarded Pole PositionKalshi98% NoOpen
George Russell is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
Isack Hadjar is awarded Pole PositionKalshi98% NoOpen
Oscar Piastri is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
Pierre Gasly is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position: Sergio Perez is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
Fernando Alonso is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position: Arvid Lindblad is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position: Nico Hulkenberg is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position: Liam Lawson is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position: Gabriel Bortoleto is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
United States Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position: Franco Colapinto is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
Oliver Bearman is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
Alexander Albon is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 25, 10:37 AM UTC