KalshiOpen

Andrea Kimi Antonelli is awarded Pole Position

No88%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli12%

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24h volume$11.2K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 25, 2026in 5 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 19Oct 21Oct 22Oct 23Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Andrea Kimi Antonelli set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 United States Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this market, Pole Position is awarded to the driver who records the fastest official lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) of the Grand Prix, as determined by the FIA’s published classification. If Qualifying does not progress to Q3 (e.g., weather, red flags, or format changes), Pole Position will be awarded based on FIA’s official qualifying results for that event. Pole Position for this market is determined exclusively by the official "Final Qualifying Classification" and is not impacted by the final starting grid; any subsequent grid penalties or starting-order adjustments do not change who is deemed to have achieved Pole Position. Sprint race qualifying sessions are not considered for this market. If the qualifying session is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the qualifying session is cancelled, moved to a different circuit, or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Charles Leclerc is awarded Pole PositionKalshi64% NoOpen
Max Verstappen is awarded Pole PositionKalshi62% NoOpen
Lewis Hamilton is awarded Pole PositionKalshi81% NoOpen
George Russell is awarded Pole PositionKalshi92% NoOpen
Oscar Piastri is awarded Pole PositionKalshi98% NoOpen
Lando Norris is awarded Pole PositionKalshi94% NoOpen
Isack Hadjar is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
Oliver Bearman is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
Pierre Gasly is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
Fernando Alonso is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
Alexander Albon is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
Liam Lawson is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen
Arvid Lindblad is awarded Pole PositionKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 09:39 PM UTC