Iowa Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa be between 0% and 2%? Ashley Hinson, 0-2%

If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ashley Hinson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ashley Hinson if Ashley Hinson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ashley Hinson loses. If Ashley Hinson wins, the margin will be positive; if Ashley Hinson loses, the margin will be negative; if Ashley Hinson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ashley Hinson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.