PolymarketOpen

Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Under50%
Over50%

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Spread100%
ResolvesOct 31, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24, 02:06 AMOct 24, 06:44 AMOct 24, 11:22 AMOct 24, 04:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 24 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket100% Jacob FearnleyOpen
Set Handicap: Jacob Fearnley (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5)Polymarket67% Pablo Carreno BustaOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket56% OverOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket75% OverOpen
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket100% YesOpen
Jacob Fearnley vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Game Spread: Jacob Fearnley (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5)Polymarket100% Jacob FearnleyOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket60% Jacob FearnleyOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket50% Jacob FearnleyOpen

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As of Oct 24, 04:56 PM UTC