PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Jacob Fearnley (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5)

Jacob Fearnley100%
Pablo Carreno Busta0%

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Spread100%
ResolvesOct 31, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24, 02:06 AMOct 24, 07:04 AMOct 24, 12:02 PMOct 24, 05:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 24 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Jacob Fearnley" if Jacob Fearnley wins 1.5 or more total games than Pablo Carreno Busta in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pablo Carreno Busta". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Jacob Fearnley could no longer have finished 1.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Pablo Carreno Busta". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket100% Jacob FearnleyOpen
Set Handicap: Jacob Fearnley (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5)Polymarket67% Pablo Carreno BustaOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket56% OverOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket75% OverOpen
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket100% YesOpen
Jacob Fearnley vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket60% Jacob FearnleyOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket50% Jacob FearnleyOpen

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As of Oct 24, 05:57 PM UTC