PolymarketDelisted

Set Handicap: Jacob Fearnley (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5)

Pablo Carreno Busta67%
Jacob Fearnley33%

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24h volume$95
7d volume$95
30d volume$95
Liquidity$282
Spread24%
ResolvesOct 31, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24, 02:06 AMOct 24, 08:44 AMOct 24, 03:22 PMOct 24, 10:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 24 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Jacob Fearnley" if Jacob Fearnley wins by 2 or more sets than Pablo Carreno Busta, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Pablo Carreno Busta." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Jacob Fearnley can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Pablo Carreno Busta." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket100% Jacob FearnleyOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket56% OverOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket75% OverOpen
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket100% YesOpen
Jacob Fearnley vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Game Spread: Jacob Fearnley (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5)Polymarket100% Jacob FearnleyOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket60% Jacob FearnleyOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket50% Jacob FearnleyOpen

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As of Oct 25, 12:00 AM UTC