PolymarketOpen

Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5

Over50%
Under50%

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24h volume—
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Spread100%
ResolvesOct 31, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24, 02:06 AMOct 24, 07:44 AMOct 24, 01:22 PMOct 24, 07:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 24 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak or played as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with set 2 at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If the match ends before set 2 is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or play has not begun by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket100% Jacob FearnleyOpen
Set Handicap: Jacob Fearnley (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5)Polymarket67% Pablo Carreno BustaOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket56% OverOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket75% OverOpen
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket100% YesOpen
Jacob Fearnley vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Game Spread: Jacob Fearnley (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5)Polymarket100% Jacob FearnleyOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket60% Jacob FearnleyOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Fearnley vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno BustaPolymarket50% Jacob FearnleyOpen

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As of Oct 24, 07:49 PM UTC