Will Losene Keita win in Round 3?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Losene Keita defeats Aaron Pico at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 3, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims) | Polymarket | 100% Aaron Pico | Open |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will Losene Keita win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | Polymarket | 100% No | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 2? | Polymarket | 100% Yes | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 3? | Polymarket | 51% Yes | Open |
| Will Aaron Pico win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Aaron Pico win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will Losene Keita win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
| Will Losene Keita win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 58% Under | Open |
| Will the fight be won by decision? | Polymarket | 64% No | Open |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 84% Over | Open |
| Will Aaron Pico win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
| Will the fight end in a decision or draw? | Polymarket | 64% No | Open |
| Will Aaron Pico win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 74% No | Open |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 57% Over | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 24, 10:36 PM UTC