Will the fight be won by decision?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Aaron Pico and Losene Keita at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, is won by decision, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims) | Polymarket | 56% Aaron Pico | Open |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Polymarket | 64% No | Open |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 55% Yes | Open |
| Will Losene Keita win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 72% No | Open |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 2? | Polymarket | 69% No | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 3? | Polymarket | 51% Yes | Open |
| Will Aaron Pico win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Aaron Pico win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will Losene Keita win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
| Will Losene Keita win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 58% Under | Open |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 84% Over | Open |
| Will Aaron Pico win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
| Will Losene Keita win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will the fight end in a decision or draw? | Polymarket | 64% No | Open |
| Will Aaron Pico win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 74% No | Open |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 57% Over | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 24, 05:57 PM UTC